Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.374975 0.432876 0.493691 0.562051 0.636474 0.714778 0.803128
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.286679 0.365051 0.452491 0.556169 0.674656 0.804811 0.957554
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.235886 0.329020 0.438734 0.574899 0.736799 0.920746 1.143130
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.185459 0.284852 0.408654 0.569310 0.767555 0.999786 1.287980
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.159674 0.266988 0.407189 0.595887 0.835652 1.123174 1.487021
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.130249 0.239201 0.389018 0.598363 0.872234 1.208196 1.641314
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.106799 0.215711 0.373201 0.601191 0.907504 1.290948 1.793374
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.091091 0.201046 0.367450 0.615872 0.957238 1.391787 1.968765
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.079306 0.190502 0.366042 0.635427 1.012960 1.500517 2.155177
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.069173 0.180880 0.364640 0.654067 1.067126 1.607582 2.340611
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.056433 0.163989 0.349915 0.651752 1.091511 1.675380 2.476148
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.047994 0.153576 0.344261 0.661914 1.132754 1.765435 2.641015
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.037816 0.137460 0.327753 0.654960 1.150090 1.824912 2.768715
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.027738 0.118479 0.303838 0.634434 1.146437 1.855258 2.858072
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.023158 0.111456 0.300603 0.646420 1.190286 1.950931 3.035061
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.017163 0.098356 0.284178 0.635381 1.198938 1.997561 3.146649
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.015210 0.096500 0.289524 0.660906 1.263196 2.122577 3.365149
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.011759 0.088285 0.280887 0.661727 1.289301 2.193951 3.511478
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.009020 0.081060 0.273307 0.663655 1.316731 2.267212 3.660846
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.007431 0.077491 0.273213 0.678670 1.364726 2.370279 3.851944
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.006323 0.075410 0.276172 0.699125 1.421500 2.486436 4.061926
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.005330 0.073269 0.278706 0.718742 1.477160 2.601511 4.271352
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.003776 0.066659 0.269657 0.716128 1.496709 2.664048 4.408155